Utjecaj kretanja cijene nafte na svjetskim tržištima na inflaciju u Hrvatskoj

master's thesis

• Title (english): The impact of oil prices fluctuation on the world markets on inflation in Croatia
• Author: Filip Gabani
• Mentor: Lucija Rogić Dumančić (mentor)
• Committee member: Tomislav Gelo (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Tomislav Sekur (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; (Department of Macroeconomics and Economic Development); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2023-09-07, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics; Macroeconomics

Abstract

U ovom radu analizirat će se kretanje cijene nafte na svjetskim tržištima izražene u mjerilima Brent/WTI, kretanje stope inflacije i harmoniziranog indeksa potrošačkih cijena za Hrvatsku te povezanost tih pokazatelja. Ciljevima rada nastoji se: objasniti pojam inflacije, objasniti kako se formira cijena nafte, objasniti kako se utječe na cijenu nafte od strane kartela OPEC-a, prikazati najvažnije promjene cijene nafte u povijesti, dati povijesni pregled kretanja cijene nafte, objasniti struktura inflacije u Hrvatskoj. Pomoću metode analize kretanja cijene nafte na svjetskim tržištima izražene u mjerilima Brent i WTI i harmoniziranog indeksa potrošačkih cijena, godišnje stope inflacije i prosječne stope inflacije za Hrvatsku zaključuje se sljedeće. Rastom cijena nafte na svjetskoj razini utječe se indirektno na inflaciju u Hrvatskoj putem poskupljena cijena u kategoriji restorani i hoteli te prijevoz. Smanjenjem cijena nafte na svjetskoj razini ne utječe se značajnije na smanjenje inflacije u Hrvatskoj.

Abstract (english)

This thesis will analyze the movement of oil prices on the global markets expressed in terms of Brent/WTI scales, the movement of the inflation rate and the harmonized index of consumer prices for Croatia, as well as the correlation of these indicators. The objectives of the thesis are: to explain the concept of inflation, to explain how the oil price is formed, to explain how the price of oil is influenced by the OPEC cartel, to present the most significant changes in the history of oil prices, to provide a historical overview of the movement of oil prices, and to explain the inflation structure in Croatia. Using the method of analyzing the movement of oil prices on the global markets expressed in terms of Brent and WTI scales, and the harmonized index of consumer prices, annual inflation rates, and average inflation rates for Croatia, the following conclusions are drawn. The increase in oil prices at the global level indirectly affects inflation in Croatia through the increased prices in the restaurants and hotels and „traffic“ category. The decrease in oil prices at the global level does not significantly affect the reduction of inflation in Croatia.

• Keywords: inflacija; nafta; Brent; WTI; OPEC
• Keywords (english): inflation; oil; Brent; WTI; OPEC
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:270375
• Study programme: Title: Economics of energy and environment; Study programme type: professional; Study level: specialist graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar ekonomije/ magistra ekonomije (magistar ekonomije/ magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2023-09-08 17:58:38