EFEKT STARENJA STANOVNIŠTVA NA MIROVINSKI SUSTAV REPUBLIKE HRVATSKE

master's thesis

• Title (english): THE EFFECT OF POPULATION AGEING ON PENSION SYSTEM IN THE REPUBLIC OF CROATIA
• Author: Ana Stanić
• Mentor: Lucija Rogić Dumančić (mentor); MBZ: 308651
• Committee member: Lucija Rogić Dumančić (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Marin Strmota (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Krešimir Ivanda (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; (Department of Macroeconomics and Economic Development); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2021-03-01, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics; Macroeconomics

Abstract

Cilj diplomskog rada je analizirati učinke starenja stanovništva na mirovinski sustav Republike Hrvatske. Uz to, naglasak je na analizi demografskih i makroekonomskih pretpostavki i projekcija odabranih pokazatelja, te implikacijama koje starenje stanovništva ima na mirovinski sustav. Pitanje starenja stanovništva je aktualna tema s kojom se sve intenzivnije suočavaju države Europske Unije ali i ostatka svijeta. Brojne države pokušale su riješiti problem deficita mirovinskog sustava koji je postao jedan od najvećih rashoda u državnim proračunima. Republike Hrvatska pokušava uhvatiti korak s ostatkom zemalja uvođenjem reformi i politika, ali do sada bez značajnog utjecaja na rješavanje problema. Za Republiku Hrvatsku, kao i većinu zemalja Europske Unije ali i svijeta, od iznimne je važnosti pravovremeno utjecati na ovaj fenomen. Danas se dinamika mijenja što dovodi do suočavanja mirovinskih sustava s neizvjesnom budućnosti, što je doprinijelo motivaciji za pisanje ovog rada. Rad se temelji na Izvješću o starenju stanovništva (Ageing Report), pomoću kojeg je napravljena analiza stanja u Republici Hrvatskoj. Nadalje, s obzirom na aktualnost koronakrize koja je trenutno prisutna u Hrvatskoj, daje se pregled izračuna očekivanog kretanja deficita mirovinskog sustava pod utjecajem korona krize u kratkom roku, te usporedba s projekcijama Izvješća o starenju stanovništva prije krize. Shodno provedenim analizama, dan je pregled mogućih učinaka reformskih preporuka.

Abstract (english)

The aim of this thesis is to analyze the effect of population ageing on pension system in the Republic of Croatia. Moreover, the emphasis is on the analysis of demographic and macroeconomic assumptions and projections of selected indicators, and the implications that population aging has on the pension system. The issue of population aging is a current topic that the countries of the European Union and the rest of the world are increasingly facing. Numerous countries have tried to solve the problem of the pension system deficit, which has become one of the largest expenditures in state budgets. The Republic of Croatia is trying to keep up with the rest of the countries by introducing reforms and policies, but so far without significant impact on solving the problem. For the Republic of Croatia, as well as most countries of the European Union and the world, it is extremely important to influence this phenomenon in a timely manner. Today, the dynamics are changing leading to the confrontation of pension systems with an uncertain future, which has contributed to the motivation to write this paper. The paper is based on the Aging Report, which helped to analyze the situation in the Republic of Croatia, and accordingly provides an overview of the possible effects of the reform recommendations. Furthermore, since Covid-19 pandemic crisis is currently present in Croatia, an overview of the calculation of the expected projections of the pension system deficit in the short term is given, adjusted to the impact of Covid-19.

• Keywords: starenje stanovništva; mirovinski sustav; demografske i makroekonomske projekcije; reformske preporuke; koronakriza
• Keywords (english): population aging; pension system; demographic and macroeconomic projections; reform recommendations; Covid-19 crisis
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:471128
• Study programme: Title: Economics; Study programme type: university; Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Access restricted to students and staff of home institution
• Created on: 2021-03-02 13:54:55