Sustav trgovanja emisijskim jedinicama stakleničkih plinova kao instrument porezne politike u poticanju zelene tranzicije Europske unije

master's thesis

• Title (english): The emission trading system as an instrument of tax policy in promoting the green transition of the European Union
• Author: Filip Badovinac
• Mentor: Hrvoje Šimović (mentor)
• Committee member: Hrvoje Šimović (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Marko Primorac (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Maja Mihelja Žaja (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2022-09-30, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics; Finance

Abstract

Cilj ovog diplomskog rada je prikazati sustav trgovanja emisijskim jedinicama stakleničkih plinova u Europskoj uniji kao jedan od instrumenata u njezinoj borbi protiv klimatskih promjena i zacrtanoj zelenoj tranziciji. Klimatske promjene čiji se negativni učinci sve više odražavaju na okoliš, gospodarstvo i društvo u cjelini povod su sve jačem značaju zelenih ekonomskih politika čiji je cilj umanjiti njihove negativne učinke i dugoročno eliminirati uzročnike. Spomenute politike detaljno su razjašnjene u ovome radu. Kao jedan od ključnih alata u tom nastojanju ističe se upravo sustav trgovanja emisijskim jedinicama stakleničkih plinova. Europska unija jedan je od predvodnika u njegovoj provedbi kroz svoj EU ETS. Ovaj rad temeljito analizira podrijetlo, koncepte i primjenu tog sustava te budućnost koja je pred njim. Provedena komparativna analiza pokazala je kako postoji stanovita korelacija u kretanju cijena emisijskih jedinica sustava Europske unije i Novog Zelanda. Nadalje, metodom višestruke linearne regresije dokazano je kako cijena nafte, indeks industrijske proizvodnje te indeks proizvodnje čelika i željeza utječu na kretanje cijene EUA. Naposljetku, na temelju rezultata analize provedenih ARIMA modela može se zaključiti kako se pouzdana predviđanja o budućem kretanju cijene EUA ne mogu zasnivati na temelju prošlih vrijednosti, već je potrebno koristiti neke druge, naprednije ekonometrijske alate.

Abstract (english)

This paper aims to present the emission trading system in the European Union as one of the instruments in its fight against climate changes as well as the planned green transition. Climate changes, whose negative effects are increasingly reflected on the environment, economy and society in general, are the reason for the growth of the green economic policies. Those policies are explained in detail in the paper. The mentioned system stands out as one of the key tools in achieving those goals. The European Union is one of the leaders in its implementation through its EU ETS. This paper thoroughly analyses the origin, concepts and application of that system and the future ahead of it. The comparative analysis showed that there is a certain correlation in the movement of the prices of emission units of the European Union and New Zealand systems. Furthermore, using the multiple linear regression method, it was proven that the price of oil, the index of industrial production and the index of steel and iron production influence the movement of the EUA price. Finally, based on the results of the analysis of the ARIMA models, it can be concluded that reliable predictions about the future movement of the EUA price cannot be based on past values. It is necessary to use some other, more advanced econometric tools.

• Keywords: zelena tranzicija; ETS; Europska unija; staklenički plinovi; regresijska analiza
• Keywords (english): green transition; ETS; European Union; greenhouse gases; regression analysis
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:299060
• Study programme: Title: Business Economics; Study programme type: university; Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Access restricted to students and staff of home institution
• Created on: 2022-10-03 14:38:58