Makroekonomske neravnoteže u Hrvatskoj

master's thesis

• Title: Makroekonomske neravnoteže u Hrvatskoj : dugoročni trendovi i implikacije
• Title (english): Macroeconomic imbalances in Croatia : long-term trends and implications
• Author: Petar Bejuk
• Mentor: Ozana Nadoveza (mentor)
• Committee member: Alka Obadić (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Vladimir Arčabić (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; (Department of Macroeconomics and Economic Development); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2023-06-19, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics; Macroeconomics

Abstract

Procedura pri makroekonomskim neravnotežama (engl. Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure – MIP) integrirana je u koordinaciju i nadzor gospodarskih politika Europske unije uslijed problema koji su nastali zbog dualnog pristupa monetarnoj i fiskalnoj politici. Problemi su istaknuti za vrijeme financijske krize iz 2008. gdje se pokazalo da je akumuliranje unutarnjih i vanjskih ranjivosti dovelo u pojedinim državama članicama do produbljivanja krize, naštetilo potencijalnom gospodarskom rastu i naposljetku ugrozilo opstojnost monetarne unije. Ulaskom Hrvatske u europodručje povećala se odgovornost države za integracijom i suradnjom, a procedura pri makroekonomskim neravnotežama također je jedna od bitnih determinanta djelovanja ekonomskih politika. Pravovremena reakcija na potencijalno akumuliranje makroekonomskih neravnoteža može spriječiti produbljivanje gospodarskih recesija i stvoriti uvjete za neometanu konvergenciju zemalja članica Europske unije. Analizom dugoročnih trendova i implikacija makroekonomskih neravnoteža u Hrvatskoj nastoji se utvrditi kakve su unutarnje i vanjske ravnoteže karakterizirale gospodarstvo u periodu prije ulaska u monetarnu uniju. Identifikacija potencijalnih prijetnji i izazova će se temeljiti na analizi dugoročnih trendova i komparacijom s odabranim zemljama monetarne unije. U skladu s navedenim, nastojat će se prepoznati i potencijalne prijetnje u godinama koje slijede.

Abstract (english)

The Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP) is integrated into the coordination and supervision of economic policies of the European Union due to the problems that developed as a result of the dual approach to monetary and fiscal policy. The problems were highlighted during the 2008 financial crisis, where it was shown that the accumulation of internal and external vulnerabilities led to a deepening of the crisis in some member states, harmed potential economic growth and ultimately threatened the monetary union as a whole. Croatia's entry into the euro area increased the state's responsibility for integration and cooperation, and the procedure for macroeconomic imbalances is also one of the important determinants of economic policies. A timely reaction to the potential accumulation of macroeconomic imbalances can prevent the deepening of economic recessions and create conditions for the convergence of EU member states. By analyzing the long-term trends and implications of macroeconomic imbalances in Croatia the goal is to determine which internal and external balances characterized the economy in the period before joining the monetary union. The identification of potential threats and challenges will be based on the analysis of long-term trends and comparison with selected countries of the monetary union. Furthermore, the aim is to identify potential threats in the following years.

• Keywords: procedura pri makroekonomskim neravnotežama; unutarnje neravnoteže; vanjske neravnoteže; Hrvatska
• Keywords (english): Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure; internal imbalances; external imbalances; Croatia
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:818646
• Study programme: Title: Economics; Study programme type: university; Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Access restricted to authenticated users
• Created on: 2023-06-19 11:39:51