Procjena emigracije djece predškolske dobi iz Hrvatske

master's thesis

• Title (english): Estimate of emigration of preschool children from Croatia
• Author: Bono Blokar
• Mentor: Ivan Čipin (mentor)
• Committee member: Ivan Čipin (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Petra Međimurec (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Šime Smolić (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; (Department of Demography); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2023-09-26, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics; General Economy

Abstract

Ovaj diplomski rad analizira emigraciju predškolske djece iz Hrvatske. Cilj rada je analizirati koliko djece jedne generacije napusti Hrvatsku prije nego što upišu prvi razred osnovne škole te istražiti razloge i posljedice iseljavanja mladih. Rad pruža općeniti pregled emigracije iz Hrvatske, analizira faktore koji utječu na emigraciju, s posebnim fokusom na migraciju obitelji i djece. Pretpostavka je da svaka emigracija predškolske djece rezultira iseljavanjem cijele obitelji, s malom vjerojatnošću njenog povratka u zemlju. Metodološki pristup istraživanja obuhvaća analizu varijabli poput živorođenih, umrlih i doseljenih kroz generacije kako bi se utvrdio potencijalni broj djece koja neće upisati osnovnu školu u Hrvatskoj. Detaljno se analizira emigracija predškolske djece u razdoblju od 2011. do 2021., istražujući uzroke i posljedice te pružajući projekciju buduće emigracije na temelju prikupljenih i projiciranih podataka. Kroz primijenjene istraživačke metode i analizu podataka, rad nudi dodatno razumijevanje teme te potiče daljnju raspravu o demografskoj krizi i iseljavanju mladih iz Hrvatske.

Abstract (english)

This paper analyses the emigration of preschool children from Croatia. The aim of the paper is to analyze how many children from a given generation leave Croatia before enrolling in the first grade of elementary school and to investigate the reasons and consequences of youth emigration. The paper provides a general overview of emigration from Croatia, analyzes factors influencing emigration, with a specific focus on family and child migration. The assumption is that each emigration of preschool children results with the entire family leaving, with a low likelihood of returning to the country. The methodological research approach encompasses an analysis of variables such as births, deaths, and immigration over generations to determine the potential number of children who will not enroll in elementary school in Croatia. The emigration of preschool children is analyzed in detail for the period from 2011 to 2021, exploring causes and consequences, and providing a projection of future emigration based on collected and projected data. Through applied research methods and data analysis, the paper offers deeper insights into the topic and stimulates further discussion about the demographic crisis and the emigration of young people from Croatia.

• Keywords: emigracija; djeca; čimbenici migracije
• Keywords (english): emigration; children; drivers of migration
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:643300
• Study programme: Title: Economics; Study programme type: university; Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2023-09-26 12:54:47