Utjecaj trgovinskog rata između SAD-a i Kine na izvoz ključnih američkih industrija

master's thesis

• Title (english): The impact of USA-China trade war on import of key american industries
• Author: Viktorija Prtajin
• Mentor: Željko Bogdan (mentor)
• Committee member: Lucija Rogić Dumančić (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Tomislav Baković (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2024-09-30, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics

Abstract

Diplomski rad bavi se temom trgovinskog rata između Kine i SAD-a. Rat je započeo 2018. godine uvođenjem carina i značajno je utjecao na promjene svjetskih trgovinskih tokova. Cilj rada je kvantitativno analizirati promjene u izvozu SAD-a tijekom trgovinskog rata, identificirati naj pogođenije industrije te procijeniti dugoročne posljedice. Metode analize uključuju analizu varijance, korelacijske i regresijske analize. Rezultati rada pokazali su da su carine smanjile izvoz ključnih industrija poput poljoprivrede, dok su neke industrije pokazale otpornost. Nadalje, istraživanje je pokazalo da su geopolitičke napetosti dodatno komplicirale trgovinske odnose, ali i potaknule prilagodbu u američkoj industrijskoj politici. Rad također analizira trgovinske tokove s drugim ključnim partnerima poput Kanade, Meksika i Europske unije, čime je pružena komparativna analiza i perspektiva. Zaključci rada naglašavaju potrebu za novim trgovinskim sporazumima i prilagodbom industrijske politike kako bi se ublažili negativni učinci trgovinskog rata i povećala konkurentnost američkih proizvoda na globalnom tržištu.

Abstract (english)

The thesis deals with the topic of the trade war between China and the USA. The war began in 2018 with the introduction of tariffs and has significantly affected changes in world trade flows. The aim of this paper is to quantitatively analyze changes in U.S. exports during the trade war, identify the most affected industries and assess the long-term consequences. Analysis methods include analysis of variance, correlation and regression analysis. The results of the work showed that tariffs reduced exports of key industries such as agriculture, while some industries showed resilience. Furthermore, the research showed that geopolitical tensions have further complicated trade relations, but also prompted an adjustment in US industrial policy. The paper also analyses trade flows with other key partners such as Canada, Mexico and the European Union, providing a comparative analysis and perspective. The conclusions of the paper emphasize the need for new trade agreements and adaptation of industrial policy in order to mitigate the negative effects of the trade war and increase the competitiveness of American products on the global market.

• Keywords: trgovinski rat; SAD; Kina; carine; poluvodiči; nafta; automobilska industrija; kvantitativna analiza
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:818117
• Study programme: Title: Economics; Study programme type: university; Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate; Academic / professional title: sveučilišni magistar ekonomije/sveučilišna magistra ekonomije (sveučilišni magistar ekonomije/sveučilišna magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2024-09-30 18:09:34