Utjecaj demografskog starenja stanovništva Republike Hrvatske na odabrane stavke javnih prihoda i rashoda

master's thesis

• Title (english): Impact of the ageing population on selected public revenue and expenditure categories in the Republic of Croatia
• Author: Nikola Prizmić
• Mentor: Marin Strmota (mentor)
• Committee member: Anđelko Akrap (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Maja Mihelja Žaja (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Economics and Business; Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2016-02-03, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics

Abstract

U Republici Hrvatskoj posljednjih pola stoljeća dolazi do kontinuiranog povećanja udjela
starog stanovništva (60+ ili 65+ godina) u ukupnoj populaciji, proces poznat pod nazivom
demografsko starenje. Cilj rada je istraţiti utjecaj demografskog starenja na stavke
proračunskih prihoda i rashoda vezane uz mirovinsko i zdravstveno osiguranje te osiguranje
od nezaposlenosti. Osim povijesnih kretanja navedenih stavki, obraĎuju se i radovi s
projekcijama budućih kretanja stanovništva i javne potrošnje za socijalno osiguranje. Podatci
korišteni za analizu povijesnih kretanja odnose se u najvećoj mjeri na financijska izvješća
Hrvatskog zavoda za mirovinsko osiguranje, Hrvatskog zavoda za zdravstveno osiguranje i
Hrvatskog zavoda za zapošljavanje. Navedeni izvještaji govore u prilog povećanja javne
potrošnje za socijalno osiguranje s povećanjem udjela starog stanovništva. U razdoblju
ekonomskog rasta uočava se veća pokrivenost javne potrošnje doprinosima, a u razdoblju
ekonomske stagnacije pokrivenost javne potrošnje pada zbog smanjenja broja zaposlenih
osoba uz istodobno povećanje broja starog stanovništva. Ekonomski rast ima pozitivan utjecaj
na javne financije, ali u dugom roku potrebno je poboljšanje demografske slike kako bi se
ostvarili uvjeti za odrţivost sustava socijalnog osiguranja.

Abstract (english)

In the last half-century the Republic of Croatia has been experiencing a continuous rise in the
proportion of the population that is elderly (aged 60+ or 65+). This process is known as
population ageing. The aim of this paper is to explore the impact of ageing population on
public revenues and expenditures related to pension insurance, health insurance and
unemployment insurance. In addition to historical trends of budget categories stated above,
paper analyzes works of other authors on population projections and projections of public
expenditure on social insurance. Data used for historical trend analysis mainly refer to the
financial reports of the Croatian Pension Insurance Institute, Croatian Health Insurance Fund
and Croatian Employment Service. These financial reports show a rise of public expenditure
on social insurance as the proportion of the elderly population rises. During the economic
growth period public expenditures are covered by social contributions in larger scale than
during the period of economic stagnation mostly due to the lower number of employed and
growing number of the elderly population. Economic growth has a positive impact on public
finance, but in the long term, there is a need for improvement of demographic indicators in
order to achieve sustainability of social insurance system.

• Keywords: Demografsko starenje; mirovinsko osiguranje; zdravstveno osiguranje; osiguranje od nezaposlenosti; javne financije.
• Keywords (english): Population ageing; pension insurance; health insurance; unemployment insurance; public finance
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:148:829287
• Study programme: Title: Business Economics; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Access restricted to students and staff of home institution
• Created on: 2016-10-21 11:59:31